Canada have already secured their place in the next round after winning both of their Group A games so far ahead of their final assignment against Spain on Friday.
On the other side, Spain has one win and one loss, and as it stands they are set to qualify as one of the best ranked third-place teams but they won’t want to leave anything to chance.
Canada have already secured their place in the next round and could be tempted to make full use of their squad in their final game, while Spain still have some work to do.
There is a chance that La Roja will have qualified by the time this game gets underway, however, and that is worth keeping in mind as Greece play Australia before their game starts.
A win for the Aussies would mean Spain are guaranteed third place - and they may still be high enough in the rankings to progress even if they fail to beat Canada.
Assuming they are the team in greater need, backing Spain to cover a +9.5 handicap looks a good option after a strong showing against Giannis Antetokounmpo and Greece last time out.
The Eurobasket holders struggled in their opener against Australia but were more competitive than the 92-80 scoreline suggested, briefly leading in the third quarter and reducing the deficit to a point midway through the fourth, and they managed to raise their game against the Greeks.
Spain should be able to find another level against Canada, while the North Americans can afford to ease up a little with their knockout spot safe.
Canada have won their two games so far by a combined total of 17 points and they also met Spain twice in 2023, and both meetings were close.
Canada did prevail on both occasions but overtime was required in a friendly and they only won by a three-point margin in the FIBA Wiorld Cup group stages - so Spain should be able to keep this fairly close even if they are unable to claim a win.
Spain haven’t managed to win a first quarter yet in the Olympics but they could be worth backing to have edged ahead of the Canadians by this point on Friday.
With Canada already through, they have the option of limiting the minutes of a few starters and Jamal Murray could be one man who is used sparingly as he continues to work his way back to full fitness.
Spain should be ready to go from the off as they bid to secure a place im the next round and they will undoubtedly pick their best starting team so they may be able to seize an early lead in this key game.
Canada | -500 ML |
Spain | +375 ML |
Spread | Canada -9.5 |
Total Points | O/U 167.5 |
This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.
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